9.29.2010

Stephen Hawking vs. God

Well-known physicist Stephen Hawking just co-wrote a book called The Grand Design.  In this pop-science best-seller, he and his pal make the argument that we need not call upon God to explain the origins of the universe, because the theory of multiple universes is satisfactory.  I will now attempt to summarize and criticize/debunk this brilliant scientist's work, which I've never read.

You might be thinking, "Jon, you're pretty smart, but you're no Stephen Hawking."  Agreed.  Your next thought might amount to, "You haven't even read the book."  Correct.  But what I have done is pretty significant -- my friend scanned a couple chapters and summarized them for me, and I read the book's wikipedia page.  I rest my case.

No, no, I'm not qualified to talk about cosmology or physics.  But I have a brain, and it usually works, so I'm qualified to talk about my thoughts.

My first thought is that this argument is ooooold, but by leaking to the press that the book would denounce God and using the ethos of Hawking's name, Bantam Books and Hawking were able to recycle it and make tons of money.

Secondly, I'm thinking his argument doesn't give us any more explanatory power than a creation hypothesis.  One classical argument for God's existence is as follows:

  1. Everything that has a beginning has a cause (or complex series of causes).
  2. The great host of physicists agrees there was a "Big Bang," an actual event that occurred a certain number of years ago, at which point matter and time first came into being.  In other words, our universe  had a beginning.
  3. Therefore, our universe had a cause outside of our universe -- something or someone that made matter and time emerge from nothing.
Hawking basically agrees with this argument, but says that "m-theory" (the latest version of string theory that identifies 11 dimensions in our universe) with an understanding that our universe is just one of many, provides a valid alternate hypothesis to the idea that God is the universe's cause.  Hawking specifically states that the properties of gravity would make the spontaneous generation of our universe possible.

But what gravity does he mean?  It can't be the gravity of our universe and its 11 dimensions.  That property didn't exist until after the Big Bang, like all other physical properties in our universe.  So Hawking must be referring to a "supernatural" (i.e. "outside of our nature or universe") gravity.  This is a gravity in one of those other many universes that we've never seen, felt, or experimented on.  Sounds pretty... unscientific.

My third thought is an attempt to understand the idea fully.  We can study our gravity.  We learn its properties and infer how a gravitational force might operate in a completely different universe.  We make some prediction, and (this is the point in the book at which Hawking humorously says there is ample scientific evidence to support the theory) we find that yes siree, if the gravity of another universe were such-and-such a force, it could cause an entirely new universe to form.

Fourthly, I ask myself the many, many questions that stem from this line of reasoning:

  • Why is it more reasonable/scientific to assume there is some other universe out there completely separate from ours that somehow -- via pure gravitation -- gave birth to ours (but remained completely separate from us), than to believe there is intelligence outside our universe that caused it to exist?
  • What caused that universe to exist?  Another universe with the same sort of gravity?  What about that one?  If we never trace back to an uncaused cause, we eventually have an infinitely old chain of infinitely many universes.  But since all of these apparently have different sets of natural laws (and Hawking admits only a very few could conceivably support life, let alone intelligent life), what laws dictate which universes will have which properties?  Wouldn't you need some over-arching "meta-laws" that are unchanging and eternal that determine this infinite chain of universe-spawning?  And -- hammerstroke -- where do these meta-laws come from?
  • How is any of this testable?  Provable?  It's nice that you predicted that a parent universe would have a certain gravity, and then coincidentally those properties theoretically would allow the generation of a new cosmos.  But it sounds, to me, a lot like the natural theologian's exercise of predicting (from nature, human experience) what a Parent Deity would be like, and then coincidentally it's precisely that kind of Deity who would create a universe that supports intelligent life.
The fifth thing going through my mind is how many critics of The Grand Design -- including many who are in no way sympathetic to creation hypotheses -- have shared my first four thoughts (you can make the case that this is no surprise, since I already read their thoughts before writing this post.  Touche.).

One Columbia physics professor said a few weeks ago, "I'm in favor of naturalism and leaving God out of physics as much as the next person, but if you're the sort who wants to go to battle in the science/religion wars, why you would choose to take up such a dubious weapon as M-theory mystifies me."

The Economist -- deciding to review a pop physics book? -- slammed it as well, pointing out that "the authors’ interpretations and extrapolations of [m-theory] have not been subjected to any decisive tests, and it is not clear that they ever could be. Once upon a time it was the province of philosophy to propose ambitious and outlandish theories in advance of any concrete evidence for them. Perhaps science, as Professor Hawking and Mr. Mlodinow practice it in their airier moments, has indeed changed places with philosophy, though probably not quite in the way that they think."

Renowned scientific journalist John Horgan said that if we believe the book's claims that we've reached a trustworthy explanation of the universe's origins, "the joke's on us."

Sixthly (<-- nice), I'm realizing how tired I am.  I really need to get some sleep.  So I'll move on to thought seven:

Stephen Hawking is a brilliant man.  Maybe the most brilliant man in the world when it comes to physics and math.  I'm sure I couldn't ever grasp the full breadth of most ideas in his book, and that what I've done above is almost certainly attacking a straw man.  But I can't help but wonder about his motives -- or others', like Dawkins -- for coming out with a public attack on God's existence.

Of course there are the typical reasons you could imagine.  They simply don't believe, and they want others to see the world the way they do.  Sure.  Maybe they see a lot of hypocrisy, or even evil, done in God's name, and since they don't even believe in Him, it seems like the world would be better if no one else did.  Okay.  Or the grandest of them all -- perhaps they are so convinced of atheism that, in the spirit of the world being educated and knowledgeable, it would only be right for the world to be enlightened and atheistic as well.

But why, then, are their attacks so full of anger and based on bad logic?  Dawkins is almost unreadable to me because he is so full of condescension and underlying rage toward anyone who's a theist.  Even Hawking is willing to imagine this multi-verse universe-popping scheme and then claim that it's supported by empirical evidence!

I guess I just suspect that in many cases, the crusade to refute God is not an educational or purely intellectual one, but a deeply personal and emotional one.  Or possibly a greedy one (the book in question hit #1 on Amazon the day it was released).

I don't know how to best generate conversation about this, except that I would love to hear any and all thoughts regarding the book (if you've read it... or skimmed wikipedia), the existence of God, and the above arguments for and against God's existence.

9.17.2010

Life in the Year 20X6

Sometimes it's fun to visualize the future.  Usually when we do this, I think, it's about our individual lives -- living in a certain city, doing a certain job, coaching a certain Little League team.  Or we might imagine the future fruitfulness of some cause we support -- a citywide spiritual revival, universal healthcare, peace in the Middle East, etc.

In the spirit of these fun daydreams about worlds that might be, let's wonder what technology might be like in the future.  I feel kind of stupid saying this, but I'm pretty sure the best place to look to catch glimpses of future technology is science fiction books and movies.  As nerdy as sci-fi might be, I bet it forecasted many of our major advances in technology -- flying machines, space exploration, the internet, etc.

What's next?  What will the next 10, 30, 50, 200 years see?  Here are some of my thoughts:


Coming soon(ish)

Really good talk-to-text software.  It seems like this should already be here.  As someone who never really got the whole "typing" thing, I've been waiting for this to arrive and be cheap for years.  I don't know how important this technology will be, but it would certainly be convenient for those of us who type awkwardly and like the sound of our own voice.  Looking further ahead, I think this will be integrated into everything, so that we will be able to speak our emails, text messages, facebook statuses, school papers... you get the idea.  Everything we now type.

I can't think of anything else right now for this category.  Help me.


Things that will happen, but I've resigned to not seeing them in my lifetime

Hoverboards.  My heart breaks when I watch Back to the Future Part 2 and have to live with the reality that hoverboards don't exist.  It's one of those inventions that just seems like it should work.  You can easily picture a board that cruises along quickly about 2-3 feet above the ground.  The tricky part, of course, would be for the board to take you along with it instead of just leaving you on your butt.  But with the technology in Segways that allows them to adjust to your shifts in weight without letting you fall, this seems like it could eventually happen.  I don't actually necessarily think this will come after my lifetime, but I've had to brace myself for that possibility.  Otherwise the crushed hopes of each new hoverless year might destroy me.

A bunch of technologies that respond to your thoughts.  I think the day will come when we understand the human brain a lot more than we do now.  It seems conceivable that we could find a way to "sync up" certain machines with our brain to allow for them to respond to thought commands.  The possibilities with this seem endless.


Sci-fi Fail (things that will never happen)

Time machines.  I love dreaming about time travel, and puzzling out the paradoxes that it would present.  In other words, I'm the biggest nerd you've ever met.  And yet, I'm pretty sure there are certain things we can dream up that will never happen.  The biggest evidence for time travel's not happening is perhaps the fact that we're not constantly (or ever) bombarded by curious time-travelers from the future (or from the past?).  But there are real scientists doing real research on the possibility of sending light back in time or something.

Teleportation devices.  I don't think there will ever be a guy named Scottie beaming people up.  The only "real" reason I can give for this is that I think teleportation (along with time travel) would require movement faster than the speed of light, and I'm accepting physicists' theories that this isn't possible for any kind of particle.

All right, what new inventions, gadgets, or showdowns with centuries-old foes are you waiting for?

Jon